Now for the Sales Pitch

BusinessWeek’s April 19, 2010 edition cover story is titled “THE HOT HAND OBAMANOMICS IS WORKING BETTER THAN YOU THINK.”  Newsweek’s April 19, 2010 edition cover story is titled “AMERICA’S BACK! THE REMARKABLE TALE OF OUR ECONOMIC TURNAROUND.”  

These are sales pitches telling readers how much the economy has improved.  Of course each article offers an array of graphs and art work to support their contentions.  It’s true that corporations have seen improved earnings.  That makes stockholders happy but most of us don’t own enough stock to experience any change in our lives. 

From the Investment Company Institute web site: The average 401(k) account balance moved up and down with stock market performance, but over the entire five-year time period increased at an average annual growth rate of 7.2 percent, attaining $86,513 at year-end 2008.

Another blog titled Bargaineering provides this data from the Employee Benefit Research Institute’s latest report on Individual Account Retirement Plans by age group (August 2009):  

  • < 35: $6,306
  • 35 – 44: $22,460
  • 45 – 54: $43,797
  • 55 – 64: $69,127
  • 65 – 75: $56,212
  • 75+: (sample size insufficient)
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Some words of warning after you read this:  

  • Remember that this data is just data, you can’t draw any conclusions of what’s right or wrong from the statistics alone.
       

    If you’re “below average,” you shouldn’t feel bad about it. Age is not a good indicator of where you are in your life. Some people get a later start and others have a more inflated lifestyle, how much you’ve saved by when should only give you a bar to reach.

    If you’re “above average,” you shouldn’t rest on your laurels and think you’re doing great. Much like the words I wrote for those who are below, being above doesn’t mean you’ll have enough for retirement. You have a few years until retirement, a lot can happen then, so keep at it.

    Average doesn’t mean someone in their 20s that has more than $6,306 is set in retirement (or that someone with less is screwed). It’s estimated that you should spend about 4% of your nest egg each year. At 4%, your nest egg should last long enough. How does that 4% figure translate to your estimated yearly expenses? Divide how much you think you’ll spend by 0.04 and you have your target (based on that rule of thumb) – $50,000 a year requires a nest egg of $1.25M. 

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Other web sites support the above data.  This translates to most of us DO NOT have sufficient savings to experience a consequential impact of a rising stock market.  
 
Since the week ending November 21, 2009 Weekly Initial Job Claims report from the U.S. Department of Labor have ranged from 432,000 to 496,000 people.  For the week ending April 10, 2010 those new claims were 484,000.  There has been no downward trend.  The same department reports that over 15 million Americans are unemployed.  The number of unemployed was just short of that number in August of 2009.  The numbers have not changed since then.  
 
 Why aren’t Tea Party demonstrators parading about this issue?  Apparently they are mostly White and well off! 

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