Unless the Democratic Party has a magic potion we will be seeing a Republican Party majority in the House of Representatives beginning in January 2023. There are two reasons to reach this conclusion.
Historically the president’s party has lost control of the House in mid-term elections. Although not all the time. The Democrats won the House of Representatives in 2018. The Republicans won control in 2010 (Obama’s first mid-term election).
The second reason is the results of the 2010 census. Three of the states gaining additional House seats are Republican strongholds. It is reasonable to expect their legislatures to ensure the seats they gain have majority Republican registrations. Florida gained one seat. Montana gained one seat. North Carolina gained one seat. Texas gained two seats. Those five seats will give the Republicans control of the House. So assuming they hold on to all the seats they currently control the results are obvious.
NPR reports that New York Democrat, and chair of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Congressman Sean Patrick Maloney, told them that the party is hopeful that an ambitious, multitrillion-dollar economic agenda trumpeted by the Biden administration will resonate with voters when it’s time to head to the polls next fall. I don’t agree.
It will take a nationwide multi-million-dollar funded campaign to retain control of the House.
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