Los Angeles – It’s A Time For Truth

Year by year, Los Angeles, which “once was a beacon of innovation and opportunity to the world” has become a city of despair.  Poverty now dominates all other issues.  A lack of decent jobs, poor schools, and overwhelming congestion are a daily fact of life.

Early in 2013 Los Angeles City Council President Herb Wesson asked Mickey Kantor to establish an independent, private commission to study and report on fiscal stability and job growth in Los Angeles. (Former) Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa also endorsed the establishment of the Commission.”

Following is part of the initial report.  A link at the bottom of this post takes you to a PDF for the complete report.

A TIME FOR TRUTH

Los Angeles is barely treading water while the rest of the world is moving forward. We risk falling further behind in adapting to the realities of the 21st century and becoming a City in decline.

For too many years we have failed to cultivate and build on our human and economic strengths, while evading the hard choices concerning local government and municipal finance presented by this new century. Like the hapless Mr. Micawber in Dickens’ “David Copperfield,” our wishful response to continued economic decline and impending fiscal crisis has become a habitual: “Something, my dear Copperfield, will turn up.”

The City where the future once came to happen has been living in the past and leaving tomorrow to sort itself out.

As a consequence, Los Angeles is sinking into a future in which it no longer can provide the public services to which our people’s taxes entitle them and where the promises made to public employees about a decent and secure retirement simply cannot be kept.

City revenues are in long-term stagnation and expenses are climbing.

Link

Obama: Unemployed aren’t ‘lazy,’ they just need a hand

Obama: Unemployed aren’t ‘lazy,’ they just need a hand
http://www.latimes.com/nation/politics/politicsnow/la-pn-obama-unemployment-benefits-congress-20140107,0,6811727.story#ixzz2pplnAM47

The president is correct. The unemployed do need a hand. Is unending employment insurance the solution?

The total number of people unemployed for more than 26 weeks is estimated to be over 4 million. The number is decreasing very slowly. 1.3 million of those people no longer collect unemployment insurance aid. That number will increase to include all the long term unemployed by the end of 2014.

The likelihood of those unemployed for a year obtaining new jobs in their old profession is remote.

The question is, are they really unemployed or are they just going through the motions of job search to qualify for the aid? I know there are some in that category. The obvious reason is they were ready to retire when they experienced a layoff. A second reason is that they are not ready to retire but have an alternate source of income.

The remaining long term unemployed may be searching for jobs in vocations that now have limited opportunities. That situation has been created by outsourcing and automation.

Those people who really are part of the long term unemployed need re-training in a new profession. Unless they are willing to participate in a re-training program they should be denied unemployment compensation. The cost of that re-training will have to be supported by the government.

Will their new profession result in a lower annual income then they are accustomed to? Most likely the answer is “Yes.” This may not seem fair to some but in a free enterprise society there is no requirement that those with an income must support those not working for an indefinite period of time.

That is my idea. Where are the president’s ideas? Where are the Congress’s ideas? “No” to unemployment aid is not an idea.

Predicted to Disappear in 2014

I was listening to a radio program, while driving, that was listing predictions of product changes in 2014. The one that caught my attention is the end of digital cameras. The reason is the impact of smartphones. Those phones have excellent built in cameras that are getting even better with every new version. They provide both still and video formats. Why carry around a camera when similar quality is available in your phone? So it appears to be a goodbye to most digital cameras. The high end single lens reflex cameras costing $1,000 or more for well off hobbyists and professionals will continue to be available.

What about other predictions?

24/7 Wall Street offered their take of 10 brands that will disappear in 2014:
JC_Penney_store,_Aventura_Mall_(Aventura,_Florida,_2006)1. J.C. Penney department stores
2. Barnes & Noble’s Nook reader
3. Martha Stewart Living Magazine
4. LivingSocial, a daily deals website similar to Groupon
5. Volvo cars in the United States
6. Olympus camera
7. Women’s National Basketball Association (WNBA). The Los Angeles Sparks have already discontinued functioning
8. Leap Wireless, a very small competitor to AT&T and Verizon
9. Mitsubishi Motors in the United States
10. Road & Track auto magazine

24/7 forgot to include Incandescent Light Bulbs. Maybe some will still be available in 2015 but it will be very few. Sears department stores are also in serious trouble as the company is in its third year of losses.

Can you add anything to this list?

The Fight to Remain Alive

We all want to live a long time. Our families want us to live for a long time. Killers do everything they can to avoid a death penalty. Families do every thing they can to sustain the life of a loved one.

Jahi McMath

Jahi McMath’s death at the age of 13 is a shock that would send any parent into denial. If her heart is beating she must be alive is a reasonable conclusion. Can she somehow recover? Let’s pray. G-d will answer.

Jahi McMath

When someone in your family is ill and faces the possibility of death, hospitals will ask on their medical questionnaire for you to choose:

______ (a) Choice NOT to Prolong Life

I do not want my life to be prolonged if (1) I have an incurable, and irreversible condition that will result in my death within a relatively short time, (2) I become unconscious and, to a reasonable degree of medical certainty, I will not regain consciousness, or (3) the likely risks and burdens of treatment would outweigh the expected benefits, OR

  ______ (b) Choice to Prolong Life
I want my life to be prolonged as long as possible within the limits of generally accepted health-care standards.
Most people want to live if there is any reasonable hope of recovery.

I have notarized this document hundreds of times.

Terri Schiavo

Terri Schiavo with her mother, in 2001

In February of 1990 at the age of 26, Terri Schiavo collapsed at home and oxygen was cut off to her brain for several minutes. The cause of the collapse is disputed. Michael Schiavo, Terri’s husband, blames a cardiac arrest induced by a potassium imbalance associated with bulimia.
Though severely brain-damaged, Terri Schiavo breathed and maintained a heart beat and blood pressure on her own. While her vision is impaired, she could not see or move her limbs. But she needed a feeding tube connected to her stomach to sustain her life.
Read more at http://www.wnd.com/2005/03/29516/#3rZ8xD0bIyJuJHQI.99

Her parents, Bob and Mary Schindler, went to court to keep her “alive” using the feeding tube.

 In 1991, Michael Schiavo flew his wife out to California for experimental therapy involving electrodes. He returned discouraged with the outcome, however. Therapy was discontinued and Terri Schiavo was relocated by her husband to one nursing home and then another before ultimately being moved to a hospice in 2000.

The Terri Schiavo case was a legal struggle involving prolonged life support in the United States that lasted from 1990 to 2005. The issue was whether to carry out the decision of the husband of Teresa Marie “Terri” Schiavo to terminate life support for her. Terri was diagnosed by doctors as being in a persistent vegetative state. The highly publicized and prolonged series of legal challenges presented by her parents and by state and federal legislative intervention effected a seven-year delay before life support finally was terminated.

Nailah Winkfield, Jahi McMath’s mother, has every right to pray for a wonderful outcome. It’s just not likely.

Where the jobs are

When I post a column it does not receive the attention of a recognized commentator. Perhaps this piece appearing in today’s print edition of the Los Angeles Times will make the desired impression. This isn’t something new. I have posted the same observations. I am just not as creative a writer.

Jeff Danziger is a political cartoonist and author of “Rising Like the Tucson,” a novel about the Vietnam War.

By Jeff Danziger

LA  la-oe-0102-placeholderBillions of workers around the world now compete with American workers to make stuff and offer services. (Jeff Danziger / For The Times / December 31, 2013)

January 2, 2014

Yes, there’s an explanation for why the U.S. is choking on the dust of China, India and others. But break it to the kids gently.

A friend recently got stuck when he tried to explain to his son, who was struggling to find a job, how our economy got to be the way it is. He asked my help since I am a well-known crank on the matter. I offered him three short anecdotes:

Last summer I was in a Home Depot standing in front of a veritable mountain of new air conditioners. They were all from China, which was no surprise. But to be annoying I asked a passing clerk where they were made. He was a young man, hired more for the spring in his step than his knowledge of international sourcing. We both looked at the boxes, piled in a pyramid, eight levels high. The boxes didn’t say anything about China. But they did say “Made in PRC.”

“Are these from China?” I asked.

He paused a moment. “No, they’re from Puerto Rico.”

Or consider this example from last month: A textile factory in Italy caught fire and seven workers were killed. They were all imported Chinese nationals working for Chinese companies operating in Italy so they could put a “Made in Italy” label on their cloth.

A third example: The city of New York decreed a few years ago that each bedroom in the city must have a carbon monoxide detector. There are roughly 11 million bedrooms in New York City, so the law created a huge market. Further, the devices have a life of five years, after which they must be replaced, so the continuing market was also guaranteed. A manufacturing enterprise could hardly find a surer customer base.

But was there a rush of companies here in the United States gearing up to manufacture 11 million devices for this guaranteed sale? No. Almost all the detectors were made in China or Taiwan.

Over the last 20 years, countries around the world have ditched their communist governments, or at least turned their backs on strict communist economic principles. At the same time, India and other Asian nations have rapidly moved into global trade. This has meant billions more workers around the world competing with American workers to make stuff and offer services. At the same time, shipping has become more efficient and economical, and international communication has become cheap, instantaneous and simple. And since the international workers are willing to accept extremely low wages, they have the advantage. Around the world, subsistence farmers have transformed themselves into subsistence factory workers.

And during this entire period, what did the United States government do to meet this challenge? Nothing. Our clueless, bellowing national leaders from both parties took no action to meet the effect of this new competition. Many American companies embraced the changes, happy to make profits off underpaid Asian workers while allowing huge swaths of American industry to die.

Two observations are often made to justify this disruptive period. The first is that the situation is an inevitable outgrowth of globalization and natural economic laws. In this scenario, nothing that the foreign manufacturers have done to U.S. workers differs from what American manufacturing did to the older economies in Europe. Lower costs and cheaper goods will always gain market share. Sometimes that share will be 100%.

A second explanation holds that what we are seeing is the necessary cost of the death of communism. Under this logic, communism was held in place by violence and oppression, and sooner or later it would have to be maintained by wars. Countries that depend on each other economically are less likely to go to war, not wanting to fight with their customers or suppliers. Thus the resulting pain of unemployment is preferable to wholesale conflict.

But are those two observations valid? To assess them, we have to understand our history. War, it is said, is God’s way of teaching Americans geography. Perhaps unemployment is how we learn economics. Are Americans, whose jobs have been shipped overseas, the walking wounded in the war against Marxist totalitarianism? That’s a stretch, but perhaps it will make lawmakers feel better when they vote to cut off unemployment benefits. If you’re keeping score, they can shout, capitalism has defeated communism. We won. Oh, by the way, don’t bother to show up for work Monday.

It’s hard to explain all this to younger Americans, who are generally a hopeful and cheerful lot. It means hinting that a great deal, maybe all, of what they have been taught so far in school is wrong, or at best useless. It means offering a full explanation of human nature, including its awful and miserable characteristics, its meanness and its fearful avarice.

That information is no fun to deliver. The worst human traits should be broken to the young in small pieces, so the facts can be digested and compared with what they already know.

My friend invited me over to talk to his son, suggesting I could explain the new economic realities more clearly than he could.

No, thanks, I said. He’s your kid. You do it.

http://www.latimes.com/opinion/commentary/la-oe-danziger-economics-manufacturing-20140102,0,5173795.story#ixzz2pHFEnMJ5

Uncle Paul?

‘Hello?’

‘Hi, honey.
This is Daddy.
Is Mommy near the phone?’

‘No, Daddy.
She’s upstairs in the bedroom with Uncle Paul.’

After a brief pause,

Daddy says,

‘But honey, you haven’t got an Uncle Paul.’

‘Oh, yes I do, and he’s upstairs in the room with Mommy,
right now.’

Brief Pause.

‘Uh, okay then, this is what I want you to do.
Put the phone down on the table, run upstairs,
knock on the bedroom door and shout to Mommy
that Daddy’s car just pulled into the driveway.’

‘Okay, Daddy, just a minute.’

A few minutes later
The little girl comes back to the phone.

‘I did it, Daddy.’

‘And what happened, honey?’

‘Well, Mommy got all scared, jumped out of bed with no clothes
on and ran around screaming.

Then, she tripped over the rug, hit her head on the dresser
and now she isn’t moving at all!’

‘Oh, my God!!! What about your Uncle Paul?’

‘He jumped out of the bed with no clothes on, too.
He was all scared and he jumped out of the back window
and into the swimming pool.
But I guess he didn’t know that you took out the water
last week to clean it.
He hit the bottom of the pool and I think he’s dead.’

Long Pause

Longer Pause

Even Longer Pause

Then Daddy says,

‘Swimming pool? …………

Is this 486-5731?’

No, I think you have the wrong number ….

We Don’t Need You – We have a Robot!

 Marchant Electric CalculatorEvery weekend for 7½ years I spent my Sunday afternoons poring over next week’s production schedule. There were no desktop computers. Marchant and Monroe mechanical calculators were still in use.

Today that job is performed faster and more accurately by a desktop computer. It’s done in minutes.

Lettuce Bot

Inventors have now developed a lettuce picking machine that will replace 20 farm workers (in one field alone). Amazon has a computer fulfillment system installed at three distribution centers that may eventually reduce the need to hire tens of thousands of workers. A company called LabCorp is hard at work developing machines to sort and split blood samples, which is just one of hundreds of thousands of menial laboratory jobs that pay decent money but could more efficiently be done by robots. A company in Mumbai, India remotely adjusted my laptop computer that was not sending print messages to my Hewlett-Packard printer.

So many jobs are gone. Manual labor has been reduced. Complex calculations are quickly solved using a computer.

Not everyone has the comprehension to learn the skills that the 21st century demands. How will they earn a living in this environment? No commentators, no wise men, no one has a solution.

As we enter 2014 it appears we will be feeding, clothing, and housing those that cannot perform the jobs of the new century. Some will object but our humanity will dominate.

Source for part of this posting: http://www.dailynews.com/technology/20131225/do-robots-make-us-more-productive-or-steal-our-jobs