Keeping Jobs In America

As I walk through the stores this holiday season there is one consistent fact.  Most of the merchandise was made in another country (not the United States).  Even clothing sold in high end stores was manufactured in another country.  My Dell desktop computer was made in China and my Dell laptop was made in Malaysia.  Tech service on those computers is provided in Bangalore, India.

Does patriotism trump our pocket books?   There is an article on the Los Angeles Times November 29 front page about the new Kia plant being built in West Point, Georgia.   The paper quotes one lady there that buying American, “is still a big deal.  But you can only be patriotic until you can’t afford it anymore.”  

Manufacturing continues to decline in the United States.  This contention is supported by the fact that union membership has fallen by 50% in the past 40 years.  In September 2001 the Commissioner of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Katharine G. Abraham presented a paper with the dismal fact that “Manufacturing employment fell by 141,000 in August” of 2001.  Manufacturing has continued its decline to the present.    

America’s largest corporations have continued to thrive and grow larger during the past 20 years as manufacturing employment has declined.  This situation is the result of the export of American manufacturing and jobs to lower cost nations.  With a new Democratic Party administration in the White House and strong Democrat presence in Congress this circumstance could change.  The problem is the lobbyists employed by big business.  

Congress may not be able to resist the temptations of the lobbyists but can always pass laws that induce employment in the United States.  That can be accomplished through tax incentives.  Lobbyists and corporations love incentives.  Now the public must demand that Congress do its job.

Wind Turbine Manufacturing

No economically successful nation exists without a manufacturing base.  While the financial markets do create jobs and are part of our economic engine they could not survive without manufacturing, mining, and agriculture.  Most governments do encourage the development of every kind of endeavor.

 

However, the United States is a capitalist nation that stringently follows the philosophy of free enterprise.   As a result we object to government aid to any private enterprise.  Most Americans believe in Darwin’s theory when it’s applied to business.  That belief translates to most of us questioning the use of government funds to bail out the financial industry, auto manufacturers, or any other business.  Does this mean the end of the Big Three auto makers?  If the Republican Party controlled both houses of Congress the answer would be yes.  The Democratic Party is likely to be emendable to a bail out.

 

Barack Obama has pointed out that the United States could employ thousands of people building a Green economy.  Look for Wind Turbine companies on the internet and you will find there are about 20 of them in the United States.  Only one name is familiar to most of us, General Electric.   Two others that caught my eye are Suzlon Energy Limited and Urban Green Energy.  The likely disappearance of the Big Three auto companies and our need to reduce oil imports should make this manufacturing opportunity a high priority in the new administration.

INTERREGNUM

George W. Bush say it’s not so.  James Baker used this word to describe the current condition of our federal government.  According to Webster’s Dictionary it means “a suspension of governmental or administrative functions; period without the usual ruler, governor.”  Paul Krugman described this period as the same as the period after FDR’s election until he took office in March 1933 and also called it an Interregnum but only after the master linguist, William Safire (didn’t he say he was retiring?) used the word in his own On Language column.

 

President Bush is in office until January 20, 2009.  Is he abandoning his duties?  In some ways it appears he has.  Henry Paulson has taken the lead in the Financial Crises.  Then again he did sign a bill the other day extending unemployment benefits and now he is visiting an APEC meeting in Peru where he spoke to many world leaders about trade relations.

 

Lame duck presidents have been a feature of our political system since the founding of this nation.  It is the 21st century.  Perhaps we need to revise the date a new president takes office.

The Katrina Years

The Katrina Hurricane is metaphor for the incompetence of George W. Bush and all the people who surround him.  “Good job Brownie” could just as easily be “Good job Paulie” for the financial implosion that is now being managed by Henry Paulson.  Let’s not forget Donald Rumsfeld and the great job he did taking us into a war zone that has gone on for seven years.  Then there is the extraordinary debt that our government has now that is growing in the final day of the Bush presidency.

 

We are down to the last 59 days of a storm that will have lasted for eight years.  George W. Bush will undoubtedly go down in history as one of the worst presidents in America’s history.  He is perhaps the very worst.  Just “Google” the words ‘worst American president’ and you will obtain a long list of articles.  Of course we are focused on President Bush but there here have been others who do deserve to be considered in the bottom 10.

 

U. S. News and World Report offered their list of the ten worst presidents but gives its readers the opportunity to provide their own opinions. Not surprising George W. Bush received 71% of all those voting for the worst president.  The History News Network states that in a poll of historians, 61% rated Bush the worst.  I almost forgot about Richard Nixon and Jimmy Carter who rated in the worst ten too.

 

I really would like someone to identify one thing that President Bush did that was a success (other than lower taxes for the rich).  I know that many will say that we have not had another attack like 9-11 but is that because of any action taken by this man?  After all entering this country illegally is still very easy and entering legally and staying beyond your appointed departure is still very easy to do.

 

Back when Richard Nixon resigned from office we could not imagine a worse president.  Perhaps George W. Bush will not be the very worst president after all.  He certainly is giving the try for this award his very best effort.

Random Data

According to Allure Magazine, November 2008, 150 Gallons of spray-tan solution is used in just one season of Dancing with the Stars.  I still think Julianne Hough is both talented and gorgeous too.  In that same miscellaneous beauty data it was revealed that Richard Nixon refused makeup before his televised debate with John F. Kennedy.  I believe President Kennedy would have won anyway but we will never know.

There are arguments that H1-B visas are just another way to bring in low cost labor.  My one experience was a Marketing manager from Germany who was brought into this country because my employer claimed no one with his experience was available here.  His pay was well over $100K.  I was furious but he was unsuccessful in his job.  That really was too bad because the company needed an outstanding individual in that position.  The company went out of business due to poor sales.

Finally there is Billy Mays.  He is on most cable television networks hawking a variety of products.  He makes lots of money despite being very irritating.  Marketers don’t care just as long as he can keep selling everything at $19.99 plus shipping and handling.  I am a far better speaker in Toastmasters and I do use hand gestures.  Mr. Mays is a far better pitchman.

Make The U.S. Auto Industry Competitive

Darwin’s survival law applies to business too!

Without a plan to make the U.S. auto industry competitive, no amount of money will make the Big Three profitable.  Reuters reported that General Motors Chief Executive Rick Wagoner said “bankruptcies would have a devastating impact on the domestic economy, many times larger than the aid automakers seek.”  Perhaps he is correct in the short term but the management of all three Detroit auto makers have no vision for the future.  Everything they have introduced in their vehicles has been reactive to foreign competition.

They have built low quality gas guzzling cars and trucks that are everywhere.  Approximately 50% of the cars sold are still built by the American owned manufacturers.  A review of Consumers Reports indicates that the quality of their vehicles lags far behind the imports.  This is especially true when Detroit’s vehicles are compared to Honda, Nissan, and Toyota.  Those three Japanese manufacturers have made major inroads in U.S. sales despite their higher prices because their vehicles are economical to operate, have higher quality and provide longer life. 

I know this from personal experience.  I drive every car I have owned until the cost to repair it is very high.  No Big Three car I have ever owned lasted more than 100,000 miles.  I sold a Ford Fairmont (to a Ford lover) at 54,000 miles when it was literally falling apart.  All six of the Japanese imports have lasted at least 135,000 miles.  Currently our family still owns a 1990 Honda Accord with about 200,000 on the odometer and it still travels 60 miles a day.

The Big Three need to consider bankruptcy re-organization that includes new management.  The U.S. government is not in the business of investment in private enterprise.  

A Unified Federal Government!

Surprise! Change is not what you thought it meant.  Barack Obama used the words “change you can believe in” in his race for the White House.  He never defined the meaning of those words. 

It turns out most of us misunderstood his intentions.   He did not mean throw everyone out who has ever worked in Washington, D.C.  He meant change from the methods and philosophy of both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party. 

We can already see that this is happening with the selection of Rahm Emanuel as Chief of Staff and the possible appointment of Hillary Clinton as Secretary of State.  What we will see at the end of the day, I believe, is an Obama administration made up of some of America’s most talented people.  I anticipate that some of them will be Republicans.

This could mean a unified federal government!  What will Rush Limbaugh, Sean Hannity, and the other right wing talk radio hosts say if this situation should come to pass?  “They are all RHINOS” (Republicans in name only). 

Exactly what is wrong with a Unity Government?  Well, for the first time in a long time we might see laws passed that will make our nation function for the benefit of everyone.  That is change I can believe in.

The Auto Industry Fix

Thomas L. Friedman is one of my favorite columnists.  He is author of The World is Flat and Hot Flat and Crowded.  His ideas on fixing the auto industry are almost identical to mine. This column appeared in the New York Times and I have copied it here.  He is so correct when he points out that Steve Jobs would be the right man to fix G.M.  Congressional efforts to save the auto industry  may have to wait until Barack Obama is president.

 

How to Fix a Flat

  

Published: November 11, 2008

Last September, I was in a hotel room watching CNBC early one morning. They were interviewing Bob Nardelli, the C.E.O. of Chrysler, and he was explaining why the auto industry, at that time, needed $25 billion in loan guarantees. It wasn’t a bailout, he said. It was a way to enable the car companies to retool for innovation. I could not help but shout back at the TV screen: “We have to subsidize Detroit so that it will innovate? What business were you people in other than innovation?” If we give you another $25 billion, will you also do accounting?

 

How could these companies be so bad for so long? Clearly the combination of a very un-innovative business culture, visionless management and overly generous labor contracts explains a lot of it. It led to a situation whereby General Motors could make money only by selling big, gas-guzzling S.U.V.’s and trucks. Therefore, instead of focusing on making money by innovating around fuel efficiency, productivity and design, G.M. threw way too much energy into lobbying and maneuvering to protect its gas guzzlers.

This included striking special deals with Congress that allowed the Detroit automakers to count the mileage of gas guzzlers as being more than they really were — provided they made some cars flex-fuel capable for ethanol. It included special offers of $1.99-a-gallon gasoline for a year to any customer who purchased a gas guzzler. And it included endless lobbying to block Congress from raising the miles-per-gallon requirements. The result was an industry that became brain dead.

Nothing typified this more than statements like those of Bob Lutz, G.M.’s vice chairman. He has been quoted as saying that hybrids like the Toyota Prius “make no economic sense.” And, in February, D Magazine of Dallas quoted him as saying that global warming “is a total crock of [expletive].”

These are the guys taxpayers are being asked to bail out.

And please, spare me the alligator tears about G.M.’s health care costs. Sure, they are outrageous. “But then why did G.M. refuse to lift a finger to support a national health care program when Hillary Clinton was pushing for it?” asks Dan Becker, a top environmental lobbyist.

Not every automaker is at death’s door. Look at this article that ran two weeks ago on autochannel.com: “ALLISTON, Ontario, Canada — Honda of Canada Mfg. officially opened its newest investment in Canada — a state-of-the art $154 million engine plant. The new facility will produce 200,000 fuel-efficient four-cylinder engines annually for Civic production in response to growing North American demand for vehicles that provide excellent fuel economy.”

The blame for this travesty not only belongs to the auto executives, but must be shared equally with the entire Michigan delegation in the House and Senate, virtually all of whom, year after year, voted however the Detroit automakers and unions instructed them to vote. That shielded General Motors, Ford and Chrysler from environmental concerns, mileage concerns and the full impact of global competition that could have forced Detroit to adapt long ago.

Indeed, if and when they do have to bury Detroit, I hope that all the current and past representatives and senators from Michigan have to serve as pallbearers. And no one has earned the “honor” of chief pallbearer more than the Michigan Representative John Dingell, the chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee who is more responsible for protecting Detroit to death than any single legislator.

O.K., now that I have all that off my chest, what do we do? I am as terrified as anyone of the domino effect on industry and workers if G.M. were to collapse. But if we are going to use taxpayer money to rescue Detroit, then it should be done along the lines proposed in The Wall Street Journal on Monday by Paul Ingrassia, a former Detroit bureau chief for that paper.

“In return for any direct government aid,” he wrote, “the board and the management [of G.M.] should go. Shareholders should lose their paltry remaining equity. And a government-appointed receiver — someone hard-nosed and nonpolitical — should have broad power to revamp G.M. with a viable business plan and return it to a private operation as soon as possible. That will mean tearing up existing contracts with unions, dealers and suppliers, closing some operations and selling others and downsizing the company … Giving G.M. a blank check — which the company and the United Auto Workers union badly want, and which Washington will be tempted to grant — would be an enormous mistake.”

I would add other conditions: Any car company that gets taxpayer money must demonstrate a plan for transforming every vehicle in its fleet to a hybrid-electric engine with flex-fuel capability, so its entire fleet can also run on next generation cellulosic ethanol.

Lastly, somebody ought to call Steve Jobs, who doesn’t need to be bribed to do innovation, and ask him if he’d like to do national service and run a car company for a year. I’d bet it wouldn’t take him much longer than that to come up with the G.M. iCar.

 

A version of this article appeared in print on November 12, 2008, on page A31 of the New York edition.

Spring and Summer All the Time

The high today in Trenton, NJ is 57°F and Winnipeg, Canada is 37°F.  Here in Los Angeles the high will be about 89°F.  For the next four days the high will be at least 90°F.  It’s not always this warm in November at my house but it is one big reason we live here.  That is the reason the freeways are crowded all day long and the cost of housing is sky high even during the current downturn.

summer-in-the-city1

Once you have visited Southern California in the winter you too will understand.  It’s the reason I visit other parts of world in the spring.  Not too hot and not too cold.  Strangely this has not worked out in many instances.  On all visits to the Eastern United States there were heat waves in June and September.  Required business trips in the winter were cold (maybe because they were business trips).   

Despite that we are planning a trip next June to Eastern Canada.  Canadians, prepare for a heat wave next June.

I Was Abused As a Child

The same excuse for misbehavior occurs again and again.  The latest is evangelical pastor Ted Haggard.  He claims to have been sexually abused at the age of 7.  He is not alone in the excuse line.  As Ted Haggard was offering his excuse, Mark Foley, the Ex-Congressman from Florida was giving a similar excuse saying that at the age of 12 he was abused by a priest.  Michael Jackson, the singer, was abused, (or was he?)  Other members of the clergy have claimed the same experience.

In each instance these people offer these abuses as an excuse for their adult behavior.  My problem is that there have been many others who were sexually abused or perhaps beaten as children and have not behaved inappropriately as adults.

An eight year old boy just this past November 8 shot and killed his father and another man.  Immediate reports offered suggestions that the boy may have been abused although there is no evidence to support this theory.

My opinion is that these are instances of bad behavior that were justified by childhood experiences that may never have happened.  It’s a great defense.