We Still Need Free Trade

Today many Americans are upset with the free trade agreements that have been considered a hallmark success of most federal administrations since WWII.  The most well known of these agreements is NAFTA.  The North American Free Trade Agreement was implemented in December 1993.  I was a supporter of NAFTA because I believed it would benefit our neighbors at little cost to American workers or industry.  I must admit I was wrong.

 

NAFTA did not sufficiently improve opportunities for Mexican workers nor did it reduce the flow of illegal aliens into the United States.  Canada is the United States number one trading partner. Canada exported US$303.4 billion worth of merchandise to the United States in 2006, up 4.5% from 2005 and up 45% in just 4 years.  Canadian imports from the U.S. rose 8.7% to $230.3 billion in 2006, up 43.1% since 2002.  To learn more about trade  between Canada & America  go to http://internationaltrade.suite101.com/article.cfm/canadas_top_exports_imports#ixzz0C2OW5tCR.  Trade did triple in total dollars since implementation of NAFTA through 2007.  The dollar amount was approaching $1 trillion.  Outsourced Logistics reports that the recession has resulted in surface transportation trade falling by over 27% in year over year survey this past January.

 

The opposite of our trade relations with other countries is the Smoot-Hawley tariff laws enacted in 1930.  The U.S. Department of State explains the effects of different kinds of taxing laws.

 

This puts me in a difficult position.  I want to support international trade but I want a U.S. manufacturing base.  The government can develop laws that will encourage manufacturing to stay in the United States but gives free enterprise the right to manufacture their products in another country.  Unfortunately politics will play too big a part in the conclusion of this issue.

The Road to Peace in the Middle East – Part Two

President Barack Obama may be facing a political fire storm.  He could be called anti-semitic.  This is a common tactic used by Jews to confront opposition to Israeli government position on any issue. 

 

The President could be put in this situation because the new prime minister of Israel, Benjamin Netanyahu, and his foreign minister, Avigdor Lieberman, are both opposed to a Palestinian state.  Netanyahu has discussed the idea of a self governing Palestinian region that would control its internal affairs but has not acknowledged the idea of that region becoming fully independent.  Lieberman is part of a conservative religious group that believes that Old Testament definitions of Israel boundaries apply to the 21st century.

 

The rejection of a two state solution to the Israeli Palestinian conflict has been reported in the Los Angeles Times, by BBC News and other reliable sources.  The new “right wing” conservative Israeli government seems to be unanimous in their position as all leading ministers have stated almost the same views on peace with Palestinians. 

 

There are American Jewish groups that do believe that a two state solution is the right thing to do.  Commnetarymagazine.com has reported on four groups.  J Street, Americans for Peace Now, Brit Tzedek v’Shalom, and even the well-funded Israel Policy Forum, have all previously jousted with the pro-Israel establishment.

 

A Jewish homeland ensures there is at least one place in this world where many Jews can feel safe.  I feel safe in the United States but so did the Jews of Germany.  The existence of Israel does not negate the existence of a Palestinian state as long as it lives in peace with its Jewish neighbors.

Military Deployment

The United States has not had a military draft (conscription) since the Vietnam War.  The last conscription was in 1973.  Perhaps it is our patriotism (or maybe because there are recurring recessions) that military continues to maintain its forces through volunteer enlistments.  At present, the scale of US troops abroad is 247,000 people.   Of those there are 42,000 in Europe, 25,000 in So. Korea and 47,000 in Japan. According to Wikipedia the U.S. military is composed of almost three million personnel, of which approximately half are reserve personnel.  Of course all of this information is based upon the data on the internet.

 

There is little discussion in the press about the size of military force we need to protect our nation.   There does not appear to be any discussion about the need to maintain a military force in any of those places listed above.  I support a strong military to protect our nation.  My questions are                                                            

 

1.Why do we need a substantial military force in any country that is friendly to us?

 

2.How big should our military be to protect our nation?

 

3.Should we have a compulsory draft to share the burden? 

The Road to Peace in the Middle East

The road to peace between the United States and Muslim countries is through Jerusalem.  The United States has been Israel’s staunchest ally.  Israel needs American support to survive.  Without that support Israel would have been destroyed by its neighbors decades ago.  It is time for Israel to help the United States win the war against terrorism.  That goal can be achieved by an Israeli Palestinian peace accord.  Once that accord has become reality the Arab terrorists will lack a major battle cry that is now used to recruit terrorists.  That peace accord will enable Israel to focus its energies on other things besides the defense of its borders.  That accord will afford the opportunity for the United States to show Muslim nations that America does care about their values and beliefs.

 

Benjamin Netanyahu, leader of the Likud party in Israel, is now the man likely to become Israel’s next prime minister.  He has the reputation of a “conservative” leader and is known to oppose a treaty with Palestinians that creates a two nation solution.  It has also been written that he wants to draw out (or drag out) any negotiations as a delaying tactic to signing any kind of peace accord with the Palestinians.  I can understand why he has taken this position.  There are doubts among Jews everywhere about the reliability of any treaty.

 

Palestinians are divided on a course of action towards Israel.  There is no single unifying group or committee that speaks for most of them. The three leading groups that would like to lead all Palestinians are Hamas, Hezbollah, and Fatah.  Under current conditions George Mitchell, the American diplomat looking for a solution, will be hard put to bring real negotiations to a table before all Palestinian groups agree on their objectives.

 

Mr. Netanyahu couldn’t be happier with the current in-fighting among Palestinians.  If his plan is to delay negotiations, the Palestinians have aided him in that objective.

 

Both Jews and Arabs are very sensitive to the treatment they receive by the American government.  That appears to be the major stumbling block that has deterred every U.S. administration from taking the needed actions that will bring peace to the area.  At this time the Obama administration does not appear to be any more willing to force its vision on the parties than any previous administration.  Sending George Mitchell to the Middle East as an American representative only showed that President Obama and Secretary of State Clinton understand that the situation is both complex and delicate.

 

The United States needs to look out for its interests first.  To accomplish the U.S. objectives the American government should insist that all parties involved participate in negotiations that will lead to permanent peace and stability.  That objective can be accomplished by using a “carrot and stick” approach.  Time lines need to be established to end this open ended confrontation.  The carrot is help to those to those nations and groups who participate.  The stick is isolation and containment for those refusing to participate.  Egypt apparently agrees with this approach as that country blocked entry and movement into Gaza during the recent Israeli attacks.  Similarly there was a noticeable lack of support for Hamas in Gaza during those Israeli attacks.  Unfortunately Israel killed and harmed too many innocent civilians.  The isolation needs to be sustained indefinitely if Hamas refuses to participate in peace negotiations.  Israel should be treated equally if it refuses to negotiate.         

 

American Jews and Arabs may be unhappy with the Obama administration but the time has come to end the stalemate.

Jews Have Very Little Influence

Charles Freeman, a veteran diplomat slated to become the top U.S. intelligence analyst, withdrew from consideration on Tuesday, March 10. He released a statement denouncing the “Israel Lobby” for “character assassination.  He appeared on Fareed Zakaria’s GPS on March 15 and issued the same charges.  Mr. Freeman charged “they have a hammer lock on public policy.”  He blamed right wing Jews in America and Israel for his withdrawl from the nomination.

 

Hugh Hewitt, a conservative radio talk show host, had a group of guests on his program to discuss the Charles Freeman withdrawl.  There were both defenders and opposers to Freeman on the show.  Apparently Mr. Freeman is a strong supporter of Arabs and Saudi Arabia.  He also was a strong supporter of China’s crackdown in Tiananmen Square (although he denies the accusation). 

From Commentary Magazine:

Congressman Frank Wolf is afforded space in the opinion pages of the Washington Post — where one needs to go for reported facts — to explain why he was instrumental in provoking the withdrawal of Chas Freeman. It wasn’t the Jewish blogosphere or AIPAC, as the Post’s Walter Pincus seemed to believe, (without ever actually investigating). And it wasn’t the “Israel-centric fanatics” the category in which  Glenn Greenwald places Chief of Staff in Rahm Emanuel. 

Wolf explains:

For almost four years, Freeman served on the advisory board of the China National Offshore Oil Corp. (CNOOC), receiving $10,000 a year for his service. The communist government of China, along with other state-owned companies, are majority stakeholders in CNOOC. Yet Freeman claims that he never received money from a foreign government. The connection may not be direct, but it is certainly there. The same can be said of the paycheck he received from the Middle East Policy Council, which received ample funding from the kingdom of Saudi Arabia — whose regime is responsible for funding madrassas around the globe that have given rise to Islamic fundamentalists such as Mohammad Omar, leader of the Taliban.

 

Fareed Zakaria asked his viewers their opinion at the end of the broadcast.  I waited for the results of that question to learn what most responding viewers thought.  I am disappointed to learn that a majority do think that there is a pro-Israel lobby in Washington that does have the super power to influence U.S. policy related to the Middle East.

 

There are 5 million Jews in the United States. That number equals 1.66% of the whole population.  Jews only have influence because they are mostly well educated and do contribute to political parties.  To believe that Jews can impact American policy is not reasonable given their small population.  After all who cares what they want?  They are too small a group to influence the outcome of anything.  I will attest they are mostly smart.  Some are brilliant.  Still, they are just too small a group to influence the U.S. policy.  Right wing Jews in America would be a minority within a minority.  American Jews are notoriously supporters of liberal causes.

The World’s Dictators

Parade magazine published its list of the ten worst dictators in today’s issue and followed up with another ten on its web site.  Dictators by definition would have to be bad leaders simply because they have absolute power.  Number 1 in Parade’s opinion is Robert Mugabe of Zimbabwe.  Number 2 in Parade’s opinion is Omar Al-Bashir of Sudan.  I would have given Omar Al-Bashir a first place in this rogues gallery.

 

Would Saddam Hussein of Iraq have made this list? No doubt.  He was certainly on the same level as the current first and second place holders.  Still Omar would get my vote as first place holder. This month, the International Criminal Court issued an arrest warrant for Omar Al-Bashir on charges of war crimes and crimes against humanity for his contributions to the tragedy in Darfur. 

 

What about those dictators who honour numbers one and two?  The Toronto Star reports thatQatar’s emir, Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, is prepared to welcome Sudan President Omar al-Bashir as an honoured guest on March 29-30.  The Sheikh ought to be honored with a place on the list of Worst Dictators.”

One other thought.  If the United States’ justification for invading Iraq was to remove one of the world’s worst dictators, why are we not invading Zimbabwe and Sudan?  Could the answer be that there is no oil in either of those countries?

We Need Israel Palestine Peace Now!

It is a great disappointment to me that I must oppose the behavior of Israel.  Their treatment of Palestinians is appalling.  It is a fact that Hamas’ goal is the destruction of Israel.  Israel has the right to do everything in its power to destroy the Hamas organization.  That right does not include the extreme force used against Palestinian civilians.

 

Fareed Zakaria’s GPS had three smart guests to discuss the Israel Palestine issue on his February 15 program.  His guests were:

Yossi Klein Halevi, a senior fellow at the Shalem Center’s Institute for Zionist History and Thought

-Yoram Peri is a former adviser to Yitzhak Rabin and is now a professor at Tel Aviv University and American University

-Mustafa Barghouti, a member of the Palestinian Legislative Council

Each of these gentlemen clearly expressed his views and of course the two Israelis differed significantly from Mr. Barghouti.  The third party needed to bring this horror to an end is the United States.  There is no other that will step forward to help resolve the intransigence of the Israelis and Palestinians.

 

There is no point in reviewing the history of Israel and the territory it now occupies.  Israel exists and will continue to exist.  The question of its borders and the status of Palestinians both inside Israel and in the Palestinian territories needs to be resolved as quickly as possible.  The reason for this is the growing violence being displayed by everyone. 

 

George Mitchell is the American special envoy to the Middle East for the Obama administration.  Mr. Mitchell chaired the all-party peace negotiations, which led to the Belfast Peace Agreement in Nothern Ireland.  There could be no better person to help bring an end to the this conflict.

An Israeli Beauty – Thanks to Sports Illustrated

 

Americans, you keep asking why we should defend Israel.  Well the answer is obvious.  The newest cover model for Sports Illustrated Swimsuit 2009 Edition is Bar Refaeli.  Pinups were the thing American soldiers loved during many wars and when there were no wars all young men liked to look at.  As a teenager I had my favorite beauties from Playboy magazine taped to the walls.  Boy, were my parents mad!!  What better reason to keep helping those healthy Israelis?SI Swimsuit Cover Model 2009

 

 

A Fourth World Nation at America’s Door


Forty five years ago I went on a tour of Mexico City, Taxco, and Acapulco.  I had a wonderful time.  All three places were filled with interesting things to see and taste.  An acquaintance from Mexico City says those days are gone now.  It’s not safe to visit there anymore.  The killing of a French tourist at the airport confirms her words.  

 

A favorite place for sightseeing, when visiting San Diego, was Tijuana, MexicoSan Diego has a wonderful light rail trolley system that includes a ride to the Mexican border.  You can board the trolley at the Old Town station and ride to the border gate for $2.50.  It’s a bargain when you consider there is free parking at the Old Town station.  At the border you walk over the boulevard on a pedestrian ramp, through a revolving metal gate and you are in Mexico.  An easy 10 minute walk takes you to the main street of Tijuana.  We don’t go there now.  Many friends have also stopped visiting.

 

The Los Angeles Times has had too many stories of people being held up, kidnapped, and murdered in Mexico.  The perpetrators are gangs.  It is not just Tijuana, it is all of Mexico.  A couple from Southern California liked motor homing to Rosarito Beach and San Felipe on the Gulf of California.  After being held captive and being beaten they finally obtained their release.  They have told their story on Los Angeles television.  Check tours to Mexico and you will find there are none to Mexico City because the crime against tourists is too high.

 

 

 

Here is a quotation from the U.S, State Department about crime in Mexico

 CRIME: Crime in Mexico continues at high levels, and it is often violent, especially in Mexico City, Tijuana, Ciudad Juarez, Nuevo Laredo, Monterrey, Acapulco, and the state of Sinaloa.  Other metropolitan areas have lower, but still serious, levels of crime.  Low apprehension and conviction rates of criminals contribute to Mexico’s high crime rate.  U.S. citizen victims of crime in Mexico are encouraged to report the incident to the nearest police headquarters and to the nearest U.S. consular office.”

How different is Mexico from Somalia where the United States failed to bring any kind of peace?  Remember “Blackhawk Down?” Somalia has no organized governmentMexico does.  Somalia is the home of pirates that attack on both land and sea.  Mexico has drug cartels that kill each other and anyone else who gets in their way.  As reported in the Los Angeles Times the U.S. Joint Forces Command recommended that Mexico be monitored alongside Pakistan as a “weak and failing” state that could crumble swiftly under relentless assault by violent drug cartels.

February 3, 2009

The latest news is the unfortunate killing of three people outside of Cancun, Mexico.

 

 

Gaza War is a Mistake

On September 20 of last year I suggested that Israel might go to war with Iran before January 20.  Apparently the Israelis opted for something closer to home.  I believe the motivation is politics.  Two of the leading candidates for prime minister are relatively dovish.  They are Ehud Barak and Tzipi Livini.  They obviously want to show a tough military face to the Israeli electorate.  There is little doubt that the cost of life to Israel’s forces will be small. It is astonishing to me that they would lead their country into war without an exit plan or even a plan on how to win.

 

There is sufficient evidence to support Israel’s contention that Hamas has been hiding their launching facilities inside civilian area.  While Israel has the right to protect its population the cost of civilian lives in Gaza has been too great.  Israel will have to agree to a cease fire without destroying the ability of Hamas to fire rockets at them.  Hamas will declare their survival a victory. The Palestinian people will be emboldened to fire even more rockets into Israel.

 

This is one more issue that will be high on President Barack Obama’s to do list.