Category: kamala harris

Who will win the election on November 5?

I am going with the prediction of Allan Lichtman.  Lichtman is a historian who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine out of the past 10 presidential elections, has confirmed his prediction on which candidate will reclaim the White House.

This year, he predicts Vice President Kamala Harris will win.

Since 1984, Lichtman has published his “Keys to the White House” manuscript, in which he predicts which candidate will claim the presidency.

He’s made the correct prediction in 10 recent presidential elections, except for the razor-thin George W. Bush victory in the 2000 election over Al Gore, who Lichtman predicted would be the winner.

He bases his prediction on thirteen keys, or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party.”

The keys include whether:

  • The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections.
  • The sitting president is running for reelection.
  • The White House party is avoiding a primary contest.
  • There is a third-party challenger.
  • The short-term economy is strong.
  • The long-term economic growth has been as good as the last two terms.
  • The White House party has made major changes to national policy.
  • There is sustained social unrest during the term.
  • The White House is untainted by scandal, the incumbent party is charismatic.
  • The challenger is uncharismatic.
  • The incumbent is charismatic.
  • The White House party has a major failure in foreign policy.
  • The White House party has foreign policy success.

Incendiary Rhetoric Likely to become more Harsh as Election Day approaches

J.D. Vance warns calling a candidate a ‘fascist’ can lead to violence but doesn’t mention that’s what Trump calls Harris. Trump also called Harris a communist.

Presidential historian on Monday’s CNN NewsNight panelist Tim Naftali suggested in the aftermath of the second assassination attempt on Donald Trump that Trump made himself a bigger target by “using the rhetoric of the 30s.” Fortunately, New York Post reporter Lydia Moynihan and CNN commentator Scott Jennings were also there to recall the violent rhetoric and “bunch of lies” directed towards Trump over the past several years.

Naftali declared, “I remember so well July 13th. And I remember the conversations in the days that followed. I remember President Biden’s speech about toning down the rhetoric, and I saw the rhetoric toned down on both sides and then 20 minutes into his acceptance speech, Donald Trump turned up the volume.”

Both Vance and the former president, who said Democrats calling him (Trump) a “threat to democracy” is “what is causing me to be shot at,” have been cited for the hypocrisy of their pleas to deescalate incendiary discourse.

Could someone get shot and killed? The answer is YES! There has already been two efforts to kill Donald Trump.

Joe Biden’s exit was Relief for the Democratic Party

The Democratic Party was obviously heading for a major defeat in the House and Senate if Joe Biden remained as their candidate for president. Even the most loyal party members knew it but were determined to soldier on because that is what lemmings do. This is the reason I have never been active in any political party.

Nancy Pelosi, the highly respected former leader of the Democratic Party in the House of Representatives, had the courage to speak the truth after Biden’s debate performance on Jun 28, 2024. Behind the scenes she was a leading participant in pressuring Biden to drop out of the race.

At this late date primaries to identify another candidate were impossible to conduct. That was the reason Kamala Harris was recommended by Biden.

I do not agree with Democratic Party leadership that they have made the right choice. Harris has been absent from most decision making in the Biden Whitehouse. That is typical. Harry Truman became President after FDR died but Truman did not know about the Manhattan Project until he became president.

If Harris wins on November 5, it will be because Trump can’t focus on issues. Harris is a nice lady but that does not make her the best candidate.

Democrats are Living in a Fantasy World

The giddy excitement over the selection of Tim Walz for vice president may make Democrats feel good for the moment but it is unlikely to change the outcome of the November election. No one decided to vote for President Joe Biden based on his decision to select Kamala Harris as his running mate.

John McCain’s selection of Sarah Palin was not the reason he lost his election for president. Barack Obama wasn’t elected president because he chose to run alongside Joe Biden. Mitt Romney didn’t lose his White House bid because Paul D. Ryan was his pick for vice president.

So far Kamala Harris has not offered one thought about what she will do if elected president. We have all heard Donald Trump’s plans to raise tariffs, close the border, and expel illegal aliens among other promises. From Harris we have heard nothing.

Some of you may remember the 1984 US presidential campaign in which Walter Mondale used this slogan, “Where’s the beef?” to ridicule his rival for the Democratic nomination.

I am asking the same question in 2024.