Grizzlies Saved

Court Stops Trophy Hunt of Yellowstone’s Iconic Bears

Judge rules Trump administration unlawfully removed federal protections

It has been 35 years since I visited the park. It is a fabulous place and the bears have thrived.  I was there three times.  First I worked one summer in the park while attending college.  I took my wife and children there twice.

The bears blocked the roads begging for food and people would feed then through slightly lowered windows.

The U.S. Economy is Great if your Wealthy

President Donald Trump will run on the economy. He will repeat over and over again the statistical information that says blacks are experiencing the lowest unemployment rates ever. He is already saying that more Americans are employed than ever in the nation’s economy.

So what’s not to like?

It’s an illusion. It sounds nice to say that more people are working but how much are they earning? The gap between the wealthy and the middle class and poor has grown dramatically.

In 2018 434,000 workers earned exactly the prevailing federal minimum wage of $7.25 per hour. About half (46.4 percent) of workers making less than $15 per hour are ages 35 and older. These are BLS statistics.

This Yahoo map of minimum wages is the eye opener.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen by 32 percent since President Donald Trump took office. But are Americans overall benefiting? What percentage of Americans own stocks?  80% of Americans own 6.7% of all shares.  84% of all shares are owned by the top 10% of the population.

Those numbers are the basis for many Democratic Party candidates campaign strategy. Their spiel is “I can fix this.”

This video is Tom Steyer’s appearance on CNN’s Smerconish is similar to what you will hear from Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.

 

U.S. manufacturing activity hits worst level since 2009

This may be boring but it matters: The Institute of Supply Management‘s index of manufacturing activity released Friday hit its lowest level since the end of the Great Recession in December.  47.2 is their measurment. A number below 50 indicates a shrinking condition. It shows worsening conditions for the U.S. manufacturing sector, which has been in contraction for five straight months, and reignites concerns about the trade war’s impact on the economy.

The declining manufacturing sector is impacting states that helped Donald Trump win the presidency.

Nine states’ economies are expected to slide into contraction within six months — the most since the financial crisis ended more than a decade ago, according to the latest projections from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.

West Virginia’s economy is forecast to shrink the most, while a decline in neighboring Pennsylvania is anticipated to be the most severe since May 2009. Add to that list of shrinking states are Delaware, Montana and Oklahoma Vermont, New Jersey, Kentucky and Connecticut.

Democrats will be praying that things get worse. Republicans will be saying we are only going through a soft patch and better days are ahead.

The Thin Skin of President Donald J. Trump

CBC (Canadian Broadcasting Company) cut a cameo of Donald Trump in the movie “Home Alone 2.” Both Donald Trump and Donald Trump Junior are upset about this really trivial event. A spokesman for the CBC says the now-president’s “short scene” was cut for time when the broadcaster acquired rights to the film in 2014 — before Trump was elected. Donald Trump Jr. tweeted an article accusing the broadcaster of bias.

Why are we wasting time on a fool? Because he is the president of the most powerful country in the world.

Trump is just 67 votes away from being an ex-President

There were Republicans support for Richard Nixon almost to the day he resigned. That could be the same situation for Donald Trump.

Trump is being impeached on two charges of misbehavior during his dealings with Ukraine. The Judiciary Committee in the House has deliberately kept the charges within the narrow range of the Ukraine fiasco.

The real charge against Trump is that his entire presidency has been conducted on the belief that he stands above the law, is an elected monarch. At issue is nothing less than preservation of the republican framework of the Constitution.

Trump is just 67 votes away from being an ex-President. Yes, it’s a huge long shot but two of the three articles of impeachment against Richard Nixon are the same in the impeachment charges against Donald Trump.

A powerful prosecutor, who is known for political impartiality, might present the Democratic Party arguments for removal of Trump’s from office in a manner that Republican senators will be unable to ignore. Jurys have been known to bring unexpected verdicts. Some of those GOP senators may be reviewing the arguments given Trump’s efforts to scuttle the constitution.

Perhaps an overwhelming indication that the senate will vote in favor of his removal he will follow Nixon’s example.

If Nancy Pelosi ran for president, she’d beat Trump

Opinion by David Gergen and James Piltch, posted on the CNN web site

Updated 5:27 PM ET, Wed December 11, 2019

David Gergen has been a White House adviser to four presidents and is a senior political analyst at CNN. A graduate of Harvard Law School, he is a professor of public service and director of the Center for Public Leadership at the Harvard Kennedy School. James Piltch is Gergen’s chief research assistant. His writing on civic life and education has appeared in The Washington Post, The Boston Globe, and The Chronicle of Higher Education. The opinions expressed in this commentary belong to the authors. View more opinion on CNN.

If she were in the market for the job, it is now clear which Democrat would have the best chance of beating Donald Trump in 2020: Nancy Pelosi.

What a dramatic turn of events Pelosi has engineered since Trump rose to power. Not so long ago, she was a political punching bag for Republicans. They ran political ads all over the country morphing the pictures of Democratic candidates into images of Pelosi and issuing stark warnings to voters that any Dem running for the House would be a Pelosi stooge. Even some of her own members preferred fresh leadership as Trump took office.

Now, however, she is enjoying not only a last laugh but also a major comeback—mostly because she has been more successful than any other Democrat at outmaneuvering and often outfoxing President Trump.

With the nation’s attention riveted on her as she has guided the impeachment inquiry, she has been at her absolute best—keeping an ideologically diverse and at times unruly caucus largely satisfied while not allowing impeachment fervor to overcome her governing or judgment.

But what Pelosi has done outside the realm of impeachment also deserves acknowledgment. Under her leadership, the Democrat-controlled House has passed a number of significant bills—ones that would protect voting rights, take needed action on climate change, address gun violence and help achieve equality for LGBTQ Americans.

These bills have all died in Mitch McConnell’s “graveyard.” But the 400 bills the House has passed (with 80% of them still languishing in the Senate, Democrats say) should help Democrats drive home a point in 2020: if Americans are angry about nothing getting done in Washington, they shouldn’t put all the blame on the Democrats.

Perhaps more importantly, given the way Republicans routinely let Trump off the hook, Pelosi has repeatedly gotten the best of the President in very public ways. During the shutdown one year ago, she put Trump in a very public corner—an Oval Office meeting before reporters and cameras-—where he conceded he would own the shutdown. Notably, the only time Trump has been below 40% approval for an extended period since his first months in office was during that shutdown.

She also walked out on the President in October after he reportedly had a “meltdown” during a meeting with Democratic leaders. While the photo of her standing up to him captured attention and praise, he tweeted it as an insult of her that night — a choice that probably did not help his already rocky standing with suburban voters.

With impeachment, she has brought these abilities—to govern and to tussle with the President—into near-perfect alignment. When the Mueller Report did not provide an easily explainable smoking gun, and so did not move the country, she resisted Democrats who wanted to move forward on impeachment.

Donald Trump himself is Democrats’ star witness

Even as the list of such members grew, she did not put either those who did want impeachment or those who did not into a box. That is, she let individuals speak out but did not hold a vote that would put those who were unsure in an impossible situation. She was wise to be patient and cautious.

Then, when details of the Ukraine call were revealed and the evidence of impeachable behavior was persuasive, she moved quickly and effectively, launching the inquiry. A majority of Americans soon came to support the need for the inquiry (though it appears unlikely that Democrats will make people also support removal as decisively.)

Aware that the House Judiciary Committee was full of Republicans who enjoy a partisan brawl, and also confident in the talents of Intelligence Committee chairman Adam Schiff, she had his Intelligence Committee take over the impeachment investigation.

While Republicans raised some legitimate questions about fairness in the private hearings, they ultimately had an equal chance to speak, and, as promised, Democrats opened the hearings to the public over time. To many observers (at least a few Republicans included), the Democrats’ handling of the proceedings were at the very least as fair as the GOP hearings on Benghazi, though that is a low bar, to be sure.

Donald Trump was elected to break the elite. Of course they want to impeach him

Now, on a day that will live in memory, Pelosi has pulled off a two-step: Democrats announced the articles of impeachment, calling out the President for abuse of power and obstruction, and just an hour later, announced their support for a major trade deal that Trump had sought.

While Democrats considered having an article related to Trump’s obstruction that was detailed in the Mueller Report, Pelosi kept the focus on Ukraine, because that is what the country appears to care about and what her members support.

Meanwhile, with the trade deal—the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement—Democrats appear to have gotten most of what they wanted, and Pelosi has given her moderates something to sell back home (and she may offer another victory for Democrats with the prescription drug bill this week).

Trump could clearly claim a victory, too, on North American trade, but who thought Pelosi and Richard Neal (D-MA) would pull off an AFL-CIO endorsement of their actions? (The union is allied with Democrats on most issues, of course, but parted ways on the original NAFTA agreement.)

Pelosi has not had a perfect record in the last two years. She has had some scraps with members of her own caucus, making news and distracting from the bigger issue of holding Trump accountable. However, she may well be the only politician who has both personally and politically stood up to a President seen by many as corrupt, even as she achieved legislative accomplishments that have the potential to help a significant number of Americans.

By moving so quickly with impeachment, she’s making it clear that a President should be held accountable and that elections must be transparent and fair, while also guaranteeing that in the runup to next November, Democrats have time to focus on key issues, such as health care costs. (Please see a shocking story in The Washington Post showing that the percentage of Americans who cannot afford medical care has doubled in the past three decades.)

Americans may remain unsure who should be the next President. But it’s clear Democrats already have their best possible choice for Speaker of the House.

The Man of Hate

Read from a teleprompter were words written by his staff to convey an idea that  he doesn’t really believe but he hopes will mollify those who are horrified by current events. That is what Donald Trump did on Monday, August 5, 2019.

“In one voice, our nation must condemn racism, bigotry, and white supremacy,” the president said, reading from a script that scrolled on a teleprompter in front of him. He added, “Now is the time to set destructive partisanship aside — so destructive — and find the courage to answer hatred with unity, devotion and love.”

Does anyone believe he really cares? I don’t.

This is the man, after the Charlottesville attack said there are “very fine people on both sides.”

After the Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland Florida Trump said ‘we will act.’ The president hosted a discussion at the White House about school shootings. Several students from the school recalled the shooting that they survived. No new laws were even proposed. Trump did nothing and voiced his support for the second amendment.

We will see Donald Trump visiting El Paso and Toledo (oops, I mean Dayton) offering words of prayer, condolences, and telling us that we are all united against hate. His speech writers are very good.

He will return after the next shooting and all of those that will follow.

Trump’s Electoral College Edge

New York Times’ Nate Cohn analysis of the 2020 election outcome will be disheartening to Democratic Party nomination aspirants.  While Mr. Cohn doesn’t write that Trump is a shoe-in, he clearly points out that the Democratic Party candidate will have to overcome a country that for the most part is divided between rural and urban.

Of course the downside is that most polls indicated that Hillary Clinton would win the election in 2016.