The Power of the NRA and Gun Manufacturers

Just last week Fareed Zakaria pointed out on his program, GPS, that 150,000 people have been killed in homicides since September 11, 2001 and 74 people have been killed by terrorists since that date. Few seem to be concerned about the killing by guns in America even though those events happen on a daily basis.

American attitude is that this is a cheap price to pay for our right to own a gun. No other industrialized country in the world has the high rate of deaths from gun violence that is experienced here. Are there more people that have mental disease in the United States compared to other countries? That is not likely.

We have accepted the NRA and gun manufacturers arguments that we are safer with more guns. Can you imagine how many more people would have been killed in a dark movie theater in Aurora, Colorado if someone else has started shooting to defend themselves?

‘Godzilla El Nino’ May Be Coming to California – a Big Maybe

There have been a total of eight seasons beginning in years (1952, 1953, 1958, 1969, 1976, 1977, 2004, 2006, 2013) classified as “weak” El Niños, eight years (1951, 1963, 1968, 1986, 1991, 1994, 2002, 2009) as “moderate”, four years (1957, 1965, 1972, 1987) as “strong” and two years (1982, 1997) as “very strong” El Niños.

Of the 10 costliest flood years in California since 1950, only four happened during a season when there was an El Niño. Two others occurred during seasons with La Niña, and the final four were when the temperature of the tropical Pacific was near normal.

I have been collecting rain measurement in my backyard since the beginning of the 1997 El Niño year. That year the rain accumulation was 48.3 inches in my backyard. That was the highest annual total since I started collecting data. However the highest single 24 hour period was March 11, 2011. In that year rainfall amounted to 26.2 inches of rain.  Heavy rain that previous December, 2010 totaled more than 9.6 inches and the news media called the heavy rain a “pineapple express.” That was not declared an El Niño year.

The annual rain fall in southern California is so erratic that averages are worthless. They predict nothing. The year following the 26.2 inches only 13.6 inches fell.

Let’s not hold our breath. We should plan for the worst. In other words plan for drought and hope for more rain.

What non-Californians don’t know about Carly Fiorina — but should

Occasionally I post an article appearing in a local newspaper or a magazine article that I view significant.  This is one of those times.  Michael Hiltzik is a regular columnist in the Los Angeles Times.  Although this is a long column it will be worth your while to read.

The most surprising takeaway from last week’s Republican presidential debate — next to the difficulty of puncturing Donald Trump’s helium-powered candidacy — was the mass anointing of Carly Fiorina as the Candidate to Watch.

Carly FiorinaPraise for the former Hewlett-Packard CEO’s performance at the introductory undercard debate spanned the full range of news outlets. The conservative National Review remarked on her “poise and her well-crafted answers,” and CNN paid homage to her “sharp knowledge of the issues.”

Fiorina told the latter that she went into the debate aware that “only 40% of Republicans even know who I am.”

She must be talking about people outside the state of California. Here in the Golden State, we know Carly Fiorina very well. We know her as the under-performing CEO of one of Silicon Valley’s marquee corporations, and even better for her losing campaign against Sen. Barbara Boxer in 2010.

So as a public service, let’s share with the rest of the country what we’ve learned about Carly Fiorina. We’ll start with her dismal political record.

Even before her 2010 campaign against Boxer could get off the ground, it was poleaxed by the revelation that she had failed to cast a ballot in 75% of the California elections for which she was an eligible voter. She missed presidential primaries in 2000 and 2004, and the primary and general elections in 2006, including a Senate reelection run by Democrat Dianne Feinstein. She skipped the primary and general elections in 2002, a gubernatorial election year, as well as the historic recall vote that brought Arnold Schwarzenegger to the governor’s seat.

In an Orange County Register op-ed announcing her Senate candidacy in 2009, she explained lamely: “I felt disconnected from the decisions made in Washington and, to be honest, really didn’t think my vote mattered because I didn’t have a direct line of sight from my vote to a result.”

The Need for Common Core Educational Standards

The U.S.A. ranks 36th from the top in math in the world.

Common Core is the academic standards now being implemented in 43 states and Washington, D.C. Common Core was created by the National Governors Association and the Council of Chief State School Officers. It was not created by the Federal government.

Jeb Bush was in support of Common Core until he realized that many Republicans oppose it. Now, based upon his comment at last Thursday’s debate, he only supports higher standards but not federally created ones.

The question is how does the United States compare with other nations? You can find the information you want to support your preconceived answer to this question.

I believe this organization is about as good as it gets to finding the answer to the above question. https://www.studentsfirst.org/pages/the-stats

Compared to other countries, we fail in math and science.

In the growing global marketplace, students will need to excel in both math and science to compete internationally as engineers, scientists, physicians, and creative entrepreneurs. Yet, in a 2012 analysis of student performance on the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA), the U.S. placed 27th out of 34 countries in math performance and 20th in science performance.4

Of course you can deny studentsfirst claims. They might have an agenda that really is not intended to help students excel. I just can’t find it.

The 36th ranking was developed by The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, results from PISA 2012. This is not news. It was discussed by Fareed Zakaria on his CNN GPS progam. The discrepancy between 27th and 36th probably lies in the evaluation of separate parts of China.

The leading nations or cities were:

  1. Shanghai-China
  2. Singapore
  3. Hong Kong-China
  4. Chinese Taipei
  5. Korea
  6. Macao-China
  7. Japan

13. Canada

16.   Germany

17. Viet Nam

25. France

26. United Kingdom

34. Russian Federation

36. United States

Those fighters against common core seem to want to defend their preference for mediocrity.

Democrats and Republicans Beware!

The first Republican Party Debate for the 2016 election created an extreme viewing of 24 million Americans. It was the biggest view of a presidential debate in history. The draw was Donald Trump.   His fame as host of The Apprentice on NBC and his many bombastic statements since his entry into the election campaign made him the reason for the interest.

Today’s commentaries by the range of right to left commentators was unanimous. Everyone on television from Chris Matthews to Charles Krauthammer have all predicted that Donald Trump would soon become a memory. Not one thought that Trump will be the nominee.

While I am not a Trump supporter I will not be surprised if he leads in the polls into the voting season. The reason is simple. None of the other candidates stood out as Donald Trump stood out. They are all experienced politicians. They all said the predictable things. Americans are tired of experienced politicians who make no commitments. Minnesotans elected wrestler Jesse Ventura to the governor’s office. Californians elected actor/body builder Arnold Schwarzenegger to the governor’s office.

As far as the Megyn Kelly versus Donald Trump in the debate consider this. First Trump’s argument with TV host Rosie O’Donnell goes back to 2006 and relates to O’Donnell’s criticized Trump for failing to fire that year’s Miss USA, Tara Conner. Other comments relate to his The Apprentice program. Both of those situations have nothing to do with Trump’s run for the president. In my opinion Kelly should not have asked anything about those incidents. Kelly does not understand that those events had to do with entertainment not real life.

So why not elect a successful business man and entertainer to the presidency? After all the two political parties have proven they can’t govern. Why not give someone else a shot at managing this country?

That is the reason I suspect Donald Trump can become the GOP standard bearer in 2016.

the choice between war and dishonour

death to America

Foolishly the president of the United States believes that has concluded an agreement with Iran that will deny them atomic weapons. The flaws in the agreement can be boiled down to one simple fact. The Iranians can continue to build a bomb while we are lead to believe they are not. This can be done because they can prevent inspection of suspected bomb building sites for up to 24 days. That is enough time to move their equipment to another location. What happened to our right to inspect any location at any time? That demand was sacrificed to obtain an agreement.

The argument of the administration is that this is the best we can achieve.

Remember this from history:
As Hitler continued to make inflammatory speeches demanding that Germans in Czechoslovakia be reunited with their homeland, war seemed imminent. Neither France nor Britain felt prepared to defend Czechoslovakia, however, and both were anxious to avoid a military confrontation with Germany at almost any cost. In mid-September, Neville Chamberlain, the British prime minister, offered to go to Hitler’s retreat at Berchtesgaden to discuss the situation personally with the Führer. Hitler agreed to take no military action without further discussion, and Chamberlain agreed to try to persuade his cabinet and the French to accept the results of a plebiscite in the Sudetenland. The French premier, Édouard Daladier, and his foreign minister, Georges Bonnet, then went to London, where a joint proposal was prepared stipulating that all areas with a population that was more than 50 percent Sudeten German be returned to Germany. The Czechoslovaks were not consulted. The Czechoslovak government initially rejected the proposal but was forced to accept it reluctantly on September 21.

In a last-minute effort to avoid war, Chamberlain then proposed that a four-power conference be convened immediately to settle the dispute. Hitler agreed, and on September 29, Hitler, Chamberlain, Daladier, and Italian dictator Benito Mussolini met in Munich, where Mussolini introduced a written plan that was accepted by all as the Munich Agreement.

Before leaving Munich, Chamberlain and Hitler signed a paper declaring their mutual desire to resolve differences through consultation to assure peace. Both Daladier and Chamberlain returned home to jubilant welcoming crowds relieved that the threat of war had passed, and Chamberlain told the British public that he had achieved “peace with honour. I believe it is peace for our time.” His words were immediately challenged by his greatest critic, Winston Churchill, who declared, “You were given the choice between war and dishonour. You chose dishonour and you will have war.”

So there are some things that cannot be negotiated. “Death to America” is still be heard in the streets of Tehran. The leadership of Iran are the sponsors of that cry. There is not a shred of evidence to prove the agreement will be honored. The Barack Obama legacy will be he left office with war on the horizon.  I really hope and pray I am wrong!

Tired of Old Time Politicians

Donald Trump1There is a reason for the rising popularity of Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders. Americans are tired of political hacks. It’s the same people running for office we have seen over and over again. Americans are tired of the talk and no action gang. That is something that Mr. Trump has pointed out. To put it another way, “Where’s the beef?”

I am quite certain that many Americans will be watching the Fox News debate on Thursday night for two reasons. 1) Donald Trump is well known to be entertaining and many hope to be entertained. 2) Will Donald Trump offer solutions to the problems facing the United States?

If Mr. Trump does offer solutions to problems he will continue to lead in the polls even if many do not agree with his ideas. The reason is that most Americans do not believe that the rest of the candidates will do the things they have promised.

Americans want solutions and someone they believe can deliver on their promises. The stable of old politicians represents the unfulfilled promises of the many issue.  Most of us doubt those old politicians will deliver this time.

Portrait
Portrait

Our nation needs a shakeup. A non-politician may be the solution many Americans are seeking. Ronald Reagan and Arnold Schwarzenegger are two examples of non-politicians getting involved in the job of managing the government. Schwarzenegger was poor choice but Reagan was considered by many to be an outstanding choice.

Then again remember Herman Cain and Ross Perot.

Socialism

When Chris Matthews asked Debbie Wasserman Schultz explain the difference between Democrats and Socialists she wouldn’t answer the question. Instead she chose to respond by comparing Democrats to Republicans. The question was again brought up on Meet the Press.


So even after that Hardball interview Ms. Schultz either was not prepared to answer the question restated by Chuck Todd or she fears the comparison. However Chris Matthews did define the difference in stating that America is the country of free enterprise that is supported by both political parties.

CHRIS MATTHEWS: “Democrats have had a record in this country for 200-some years of being for social security, Medicare, civil rights, interventions in the market, but not getting rid of the market. Clearly, they accept the power and the efficiency of a capitalist system. Socialists do not. This is a fundamental difference.”

Too bad Wasserman Schultz didn’t say that.

A socialist is someone who supports the political philosophy of socialism, which is a governmental system that advocates community ownership and control of all lands and businesses rather than individual ownership.

Bernie Sanders is an Independent and an avowed socialist. He admits it.

That definition of socialism forces me to not support Bernie Sanders for the presidency.

When Everything Was So Great!! ??

From Dutchman a HuffPost community moderator on 7-29-2015                                   

This is for the “everything was great when Republicans were president” crowd.

Here is my updated (as of market close last Friday) analysis of the inflation-adjusted S&P 500 returns.

Source data is available from Standard and Poors (www.standardandpoors.com) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics ( href=”http://www.bea.gov“>www.bea.gov)

Peak to Valley loss for the S&P 500 from October, 2007 through January, 2009: -50.9%. Who was president then?

Cumulative return to the S&P 500 since February, 2009: +111%
And then there’s this: Rank of the best performing presidenti­­al administra­­tion for the annualized return of the S&P 500 “under their watch”:

Clinton: 14.26%

Eisenhower : 13.38%

Obama: 13.15%

Kennedy: 11.10%

Bush I: 11.01%

Truman: 9.99%

Reagan: 9.51%

Roosevelt: 8.67%

Johnson: 7.16%

Carter: 1.20%

Nixon/Ford : −2.16%

Bush II: −5.18%

Hoover: −17.33%

Amazing! The president with the 3rd best annualized real return of the S&P 500 “under his watch” since the CRSP records begin in 1926 is OBAMA!!!!!  And he did much better than the GOP hero, Mr. Reagan did.

More importantly, in aggregate and individual­­ly, Republican presidents are TERRIBLE for the S&P 500.

Annualized, real return of the S&P 500 since 1926 under Democratic presidenci­­es: 9.57%

Annualized, real return of the S&P 500 since 1926 under Republican presidenci­­es: 3.85%

Moreover, 8 of the 10 WORST YEARS for the S&P 500 occurred under Republican Presidents .

The worst years are:

1931: -43.35% (Hoover)
2008: -37.00% (Bush II)
1937: -35.02% (Roosevelt )
1974: -26.45% (Nixon)
1930: -24.0% (Hoover)
2002: -22.1% (Bush II)
1973: -14.67% (Nixon)
2001: -11.87% (Bush II)
1941: -11.58% (Roosevelt )
1957: -10.79% (Eisenhowe­­r).

And then there’s this:  the ONLY presidents to ever see the S&P 500 lower after they left office than when they came in were Republicans.

Facts. You gotta love them. Unless you’re a conservative.