In my neighborhood the same back bench Democrat has been sent back to congress for 12 terms.  People tend to re-elect incumbents.  That is the reason that Donald Trump is likely to win in the November 3 election.

There is little doubt among most of us that Donald Trump is a loose cannon. Given that his doctors refuse to provide the public with his medical condition it is reasonable to conclude that the news is not good.

Despite recent election polling we should not conclude that he will lose the election as a consequence of his recent behavior or his mismanagement of the COVID-19 pandemic or the economy.

Most RED states are still red.  Look at the states that voted for Trump.  How many of the voters in those states are likely to vote for Joe Biden?  Most people have already made up their minds on who they support.

This article appearing in the Los Angeles Times gives you a birds eye view of the thought of working class people in midwestern states.

Donald Trump won the Electoral College with 306 votes.  A win of 36 votes over the 270 to needed to win.  Where can Joe Biden obtain enough of those needed votes to reach 270? Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania together would give Biden 278 votes.

Hillary Clinton was predicted by most polls to win in 2016.  Two exceptions were LA Times USC Tracking and Gravis.  Today Real Clear Politics data collection shows 226 Biden, 125 Trump.  With 187 in the Toss Up category there are plenty of opportunities for Biden but don’t most people give the incumbent a break unless the nation is in serious trouble?

Is the United States in serious trouble?  We have just over 4 percent of the world’s population but has nearly 20 percent of the virus outbreaks and deaths.  If that isn’t a serious situation then what is it?

Biden needs to keep hammering these facts to election day.