The Gap Between the Wealthy and the Middle Class

The political parties have missed the primary message of the November 4 election. There was a poor turnout because neither party addressed the issue that most Americans care about. My opinion: A growing economy ought to be the primary target for both parties.   The graph below developed by the Economic Policy Institute shows increased productivity without increased remuneration but the EPI discussion does not offer any evaluation as to cause. They leave the evaluation to others. Those others are the commentators and economists who just might have a political agenda.

Real Hourly Growth

My take: Higher productivity is not the outcome of employees working harder or smarter. It is the result of new technologies. Those technologies are the consequence of new tools and new software. Those technologies lower the needed manpower. A good example is the elimination of ticket takers/payment clerks as you leave a parking structure. They are now being replaced with automated systems. Those same systems will eliminate order takers at McDonald’s, etc. Those technologies enable machine shops to complete projects faster with less scrap and higher quality.

What will we do with all the people who no longer have jobs? That is the question that politicians can’t answer. Those illegal aliens? Their jobs are on the line too. Capitalism in a free enterprise society translates to hiring the least expensive labor. Of course politicians don’t want to talk to the electorate about this issue.

Is the solution more subsidies and aid for the “middle class”? That appears to be the only solution today. Neither political party wants to admit we have a problem with no apparent solution.

Do not expect anyone running for president in 2016 to say anything about this issue. You will hear discussion on illegal immigration, Russian threats to Eastern Europe, the challenges in Middle Eastern Islamic nations (no boots on the ground), and of course Obama Care. No one will be talking about the gap between the wealthy and the middle class. I hope I am wrong.

Russia Resuming Cold War Behavior

President Obama belittled Mitt Romney for his prediction over the course of the 2012 campaign, Romney repeatedly called Russia “our number one geopolitical foe.”  Then came this debate confrontation.

 

Now in response to NATO’s “anti-Russia inclinations,” the Kremlin will resume its Cold War-era practice of sending long-range bombers to patrol the western Atlantic and eastern Pacific.  The flights, which will extend to the borders of U.S. territorial waters, follow a markedly more aggressive air defense posture by Russia in the eight months since it seized and annexed Ukraine’s Crimea region in March, according to European strategic analysts.

 

Newsweek reports:
“Russia has announced plans to build a drone base for military reconnaissance in a town just 420 miles off mainland Alaska and just over 300 miles off the US state’s St Lawrence Island, Russia’s state news agency reported on Thursday.”

“The command of the eastern military district in charge of the military development of the Arctic zone has moved forward with plans to form an unmanned aerial vehicle division,” Alexandr Gordeev, spokesperson for the district said.”

Hungarian leadership is now saying that it feels a kinship with Russia.  Russian speaking Latvians are leaning towards Russia. Russia does not need to be communist to stand as the opposition to western style democracy.  Mikhail Gorbachev recently warned of a renewal of the Cold War.

Barack Obama as leader of a new Cold War is very frightening.  I am looking forward to a new tough American leader.

An Ugly Downhill Slide as Democrats and Republicans Fight for the Presidency

Attention Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Rand Paul, Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz and everyone else “seriously considering” a run for president. You can stop pretending now.

Is Hillary really the best that the Democrats can offer? With so many opinions among the possible GOP challengers can any of them bring unity to that party?

If you think it will be easy for any candidate you are mistaken. The Republicans will have to prove they can break the grid lock. The Democrats will have to prove they can overcome eight years of grid lock that they created; thanks to Barack Obama’s refusal to include the GOP in any legislative action.

Watching Obama’s news conference tells me that he has no regrets and intends to proceed as if nothing has changed. He pledges an immigration executive order by the end of this year. Will his executive orders be grounds for impeachment?  I doubt that will happen. Joe Biden would become president if Obama is found guilty. An unlikely series of events.

Chest pounding by leaders of both parties is the reaction to a GOP wave of success. These kinds of public speeches says the next two years will be a dog fight. Wait maybe this is all talk. The shock of losing the Senate has brought out the worst in both sides.

Will any of these candidates address the real issues confronting this country? I doubt it. Most people will be ignoring the politicians until the summer of 2016. Most of us are disgusted with their behavior and the unfulfilled promises.

A voter guide to California’s boring but important ballot propositions

Someone I respect.

George Skelton

Los Angeles Times

Six state propositions are on the ballot and none are sexy. All are snoozers. But each is significant.

Some, in fact, are game-changers.

Why else would the medical profession and insurance companies be spending well over $100 million to beat back Propositions 45 and 46?

Prop. 47 would punish handgun thieves with a figurative slap on the wrist.

Prop. 48 would set a precedent by allowing an Indian tribe to build a Vegas-style casino off the reservation in an urban area.

Props. 1 and 2 have nothing in common except a simple word: “save.” One measure is about saving water, the other tax money. And the weak link is saving Gov. Jerry Brown from having to talk about the fourth term he is seeking while conveniently stumping instead for these props as if they were twins.

Here’s my voter guide:

  • Prop. 1 would authorize $7.5 billion in bonds for badly needed water projects. It wouldn’t help during the current drought, but would prepare for future dry spells.

The money would be spent for the kinds of community projects that California should have been heavily engaged in long ago, rather than relying on massive, super-expensive facilities to transfer water from one region to another. Call it stealing.

There would be state matching money for capturing storm water, recharging aquifers, decontaminating groundwater and recycling wastewater.

More controversial is $2.7 billion for dam building. But critics ignore the fact that dams also provide flood control and recreation.

Prop. 1 is an easy yes.

  • Prop. 2 would force Sacramento politicians to save tax money for an economic rainy day.

To be precise, 1.5% of general fund revenue and all capital gains receipts exceeding 8% of the general fund would be salted away.

The purpose is to reduce the roller-coaster effect of revenue flow during booms and busts. A more effective solution would be to reform California’s tax system. But that would require too much courage for these timid politicians.

Meanwhile, Prop. 2 is another no-brainer yes.

Prop. 45 would allow the state insurance commissioner to regulate premium rates for certain medical plans: those covering individuals and companies with fewer than 50 employees.

Since 1988, the commissioner has been approving home and auto insurance rates. And that has worked out well for consumers.

Opponents have raised more than $56 million, mainly from four big insurance companies. Their TV pitch is that Prop. 45 entrusts too much power in one politician. But at least he is elected and accountable to voters. The insurance companies are accountable mainly to their bottom lines.

Also opposed are unelected government appointees who administer Obamacare in California and worry that the commissioner would interfere in their negotiations with insurers.

But if an elected official can control rising premium rates, he should be allowed to. A close call, but a yes.

Prop. 46 would return the limit on medical malpractice pain-and-suffering payouts to the same dollar value it was in 1975. Inflation has greatly eroded it.

Doctors, hospitals and insurers have raised more than $55 million to kill the measure. They claim it would cause healthcare costs to skyrocket. The nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office, however, calculates the increased cost as practically infinitesimal: less than 0.5%.

Back in 1975, then-Gov. Brown and the Legislature set the cap on noneconomic damage awards at $250,000. If that had been adjusted annually for inflation, it would be $1.1 million today. That’s where Prop. 46 would reset it.

Opposition ads are demonizing trial lawyers, contending Prop. 46 is all about enriching them. But it’s really about securing justice for malpractice victims, who now have difficulty hiring lawyers because the potential awards are so low.

The measure also does two other things. It would require drug and alcohol testing of hospital doctors. And to fight pain pill addiction, it would force doctors to use a state database that tracks patients’ prescription histories.

It’s long past time to bring the medical malpractice cap into the 21st century. And there’s nothing wrong with requiring hospital doctors to undergo drug testing, as pilots and bus drivers do. Controlling pain pill addiction through modern technology also makes sense.

Prop. 47 would reduce the penalty for personal use of most hard drugs — like cocaine and heroin — from a possible felony to always a misdemeanor. OK, perhaps.

More significantly, however, the measure would lower to a misdemeanor other crimes deemed nonviolent and nonserious, such as petty theft, shoplifting, receiving stolen property, writing bad checks and forgery. If the value were less than $950, it would always be a misdemeanor.

Any savings from less incarceration would be earmarked for improved mental health and drug treatment programs.

But most handguns are worth less than $950. Steal one and it’s only a hand slap? That’s too big a flaw. No way on this Prop.

Prop. 48 would ratify a compact negotiated by Brown allowing the North Fork tribe in the Sierra foothills to build a casino down in the San Joaquin Valley on busy Highway 99 near Madera.

When Californians voted to allow Indian casinos 14 years ago, we were promised the gambling halls would be kept on reservations.

If Vegas-type casinos are now going to be permitted in California cities, we should take away the Indians’ monopoly and allow all interests and ethnicities to own them.

Prop. 48 would set a bad precedent.

The Next President of the United States

The biggest issue for me in the next presidential election is the economy. I do not expect the results of the November 4 election to change the course of the country during the next two years.

The middle class is shrinking thanks to technology and foreign competition. From the 2000 to the 2012, real U.S. median household income decreased 6.6 percent. That is a decrease from $55,030 in 2000 to $51,371 in 2012 according to The U.S. Census Bureau. In the meantime the wealthiest in our country became even richer. It is, by now, well-known that income inequality has increased in the United States. The top 10 percent of earners took more than half of the country’s overall income in 2012, the highest proportion recorded in a century of government record keeping.

Where are the ideas that will enable this country, the United States, to thrive in this century? By 2016 we will already be well into the 21st century. Things happening on the other side of the world do effect what happens here. Our economy is struggling to find a new direction. Our leaders are silent on their ideas about where we as a nation should be going.

Others may say it is too early to expect any ideas from the 2016 candidates but I do not agree with that view. I want to hear new ideas. I want to hear what the candidates will do to lead this country.

Obama’s 2008 campaign used the slogan “Change we can believe in” and the chant “Yes We Can”. John McCain’s 2008 campaign used the slogan “Country First.” Can anyone explain the meaning of those slogans? Neither told us what those candidates would do as president. We all know how that turned out. We chose change but obtained grid lock and a lack of leadership skills.

I am not interested in their political party as much as I am interested in their plans. Candidates should fill in the remainder of this statement. “If I am elected president I will ______.”

It is unlikely there will be a candidate that will make this statement. We will be inundated with new slogans and words telling us how bad the opponent is for the country.

How many of us will ride above the political party line and vote for the best man? Or is it the best woman? Hmm. The gender, sexual orientation, or religion of the candidates might be the big issue. And once again we won’t be focusing on the real question. Where will you take this country?

Is the U.S. Constitution equivalent to the Bible?

It remains inexplicable that the most advanced country in the world honors a document written in 1789 as if it was handed down from God like the Ten Commandments.

Those wise men that wrote the United States Constitution recognized that the basic law they created might need to be amended as the world evolved. They provided for that situation in Article V. Despite that ability the conservatives on the Supreme Court and elsewhere in our nation defend the idea “that the meaning of the constitution does not change or evolve over time, but rather that the meaning of the text is both fixed and knowable.  An originalist believes that the fixed meaning of the text should be the sole guide for a judge when applying or interpreting a constitutional provision.” Source of quotation

Thus we are all bound to the idea that our right to bear arms has no limits. Anyone can buy and own a gun. The NRA strongly advocates this belief in spite of the continuing loss of life caused by the deranged. They oppose all forms of weapons registration and the names of people who own them.

Thus on this fall day a high school student in Washington State killed one classmate and seriously injured three others before taking his own life. Meanwhile two Northern California deputies are dead another officer and a civilian were injured by another mad man.

I am quite sure there were other shootings today.

We all just change the television channel or block it out of our mind. Most people just say that is the way it is in America.

If it happens to someone in our family we cry, pray, and try to forget.

MOST OF US DO NOT HAVE THE COURAGE TO SAY “ENOUGH.” CERTAINLY NOT OUR ELECTED OFFICALS. THEY TOO ARE AFRAID OF THE NRA.

The Difference Between a Progressive and a Liberal

February 5, 2016

This posting was originally made on Oct 22, 2014.  I believe both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders meet the Teddy Roosevelt definition of a progressive.  The difference between them is that Senator Sanders favors greater change at a rapid pace that he calls a “revolution.”  Mrs. Clinton wants those changes at a slower pace that she calls “evolution.”

Watching The Roosevelts on PBS has helped me to identify my political and economic position. I am a Progressive as was Teddy Roosevelt.

  • Progressives want laws that improve society.
  • Progressives emphasize doing the most for the most – which is how we got socio-economic programs such as Sherman Anti-trust Act, Social Security, Medicare, Obama Care, the 40 hour work week, and a minimum wage.
  • Progressives want businesses to thrive but do not want monopolies or near monopolies.
  • Progressives pursue issues; liberals support candidates; so do conservatives.
  • Progressives have new ideas.

David Sirota, Newspaper columnist and radio host in 1969, wrote this on the Huffington Post:

To put it in more concrete terms – a liberal solution to some of our current problems with high energy costs would be to increase funding for programs like the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP). A more “progressive” solution would be to increase LIHEAP but also crack down on price gouging and pass laws better-regulating the oil industry’s profiteering and market manipulation tactics. A liberal policy towards prescription drugs is one that would throw a lot of taxpayer cash at the pharmaceutical industry to get them to provide medicine to the poor; A progressive prescription drug policy would be one that centered around price regulations and bulk purchasing in order to force down the actual cost of medicine in America (much of which was originally developed with taxpayer R&D money).

Conservatives stand for no change. They want to maintain the status quo. They would turn the clock back if they could. That is the way of the religious members of society. The orthodox religious people want no changes to their practice. Look at those who oppose gay marriage and abortion. They usually hold orthodox religious views. They are part of the conservatives.

Progressives don’t simply support laws that bring about change. It’s just that progressives are willing to consider making changes that will improve life for everyone.

Warren Buffett on Clinton 2016: ‘Hillary is going to win’

As reported on Fortune.com, Warren Buffet appearing at Fortune’s Most Powerful Women Summit predicted that Hillary Clinton will not only run for president but that she will win.  He said he would bet on it.

I would bet that the GOP will disagree with a Clinton win.  But isn’t it entertaining.

Link to the interview: http://for.tn/1rUvaGL

The United States is the Arms Maker for the World

When you want the very best in military hardware buy American. Ours is the highest quality and most reliable. Our arms are the equivalent of Lexus, BMW, and Mercedes Benz high quality cars.

President Dwight Eisenhower famously warned the U.S. about the “militaryindustrial complex” in his farewell address. To this day armament manufacturers have provided thousands of well-paying jobs to Americans. With the wind down of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and reduced military budgets there has been a significant reduction in those arms purchases.

The Los Angeles Times reports that “Three days after the U.S. fired 47 cruise missiles into Syria last week, the Pentagon signed a $251-million deal to buy more missiles from Raytheon Co.”

Thanks to the president’s “no boots on the ground” plans we are all happy to know that our children will have limited exposure to the Middle East war zone.

Why are we in this war at all? Congress won’t vote money for America’s infrastructure or other domestic spending proposals. However, given any threat abroad and the need for more jobs at home, why not keep shooting those GPS guided bombs? After all the cost of those guidance systems is a mere $25,000 each.

Make war, make money, and no boots on the ground. Perfect! Something both Democrats and Republicans can both agree on.

The militaryindustrial complex is alive and well.